Friday, October 2, 2009

8.30825%

According to Baseball Prospectus the Twins have a 8.30825% chance of making the playoffs. That's a long shot, but it's up 4.3493% from yesterday.

The Twins could get in on 3 situations.

Situation A: The Twins sweep the Royals and the White Sox Sweep the Tigers. The Twins win the division by 1 game.
Situation B: The Twins sweep the Royals and the Tigers take 1 game from the White Sox. There would be a 1 game playoff at the Metrodome, the winner taking the division.
Situation C: The Twins take 2 of 3 from the Royals and the White Sox sweep the Tigers. Again there would be a 1 game playoff.

Any other situation and the Tigers are in, and the Twins are out.

Tonight Jeff Manship (0-1, 5.81) will face Lenny DiNardo (0-2, 7.52). Saturday's probables are Nick Blackburn (11-11, 4.08) and Zack Greinke (16-8, 2.06). Sunday's are Brian Duensing (5-2, 3.69) and Luke Hochevar (7-12, 6.24).

Saturday will obviously be the toughest of the the three games, with "The Cy Guy", Zack Grienke taking the mound looking to secure the Cy Young award with a strong performance.

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