53.95680%

The Twins now have a 53.95680% chance of making the playoffs. That's over 50%, or in other words, a better shot than the Tigers. The Twins send Carl Pavano to the mound, and the Royals counter with Luke Hochevar. If The Twins win and the Tigers lose, the Twins win the division.

If the Twins and Tigers win, there will be a 1 game playoff on Tuesday at 4:00 PM CT. That game would almost certainly feature Scott Baker and Rick Porcello. If the Tigers win and the Twins lose, the Tigers win the division.